Polls Show Trump Ahead in Key Swing States, Holds Edge Over Harris

 Washington, DC: Recent polls by AtlasIntel reveal that Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is leading in crucial U.S. swing states, holding a 1.8 percentage point edge over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, with 49% voter support. Trump’s lead is most notable in states like Arizona and Nevada, while remaining tight in key Rust Belt states including Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

AtlasIntel’s data, shared on social media, indicates that Trump is ahead of Harris by at least 1 percentage point in every swing state surveyed. The widest lead for Trump appears in Arizona, with a 6.8 percentage point advantage, followed by a 5.5-point gap in Nevada. By contrast, Trump’s lead narrows in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where he is ahead by just 1.3, 1.5, and 1.7 percentage points, respectively. In Georgia and North Carolina, Trump also leads, holding a 1.8-point advantage in the former and a 3.6-point margin in the latter.

In the national poll, 49% of voters indicated they would support Trump, while 47.2% leaned toward Harris. The survey, conducted on November 1-2, included 2,463 participants, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

Another focused survey analyzed Trump and Harris’s support across swing states, sampling voters specifically in Arizona (967), Georgia (1,174), Michigan (1,198), Nevada (782), North Carolina (1,310), Pennsylvania (2,049), and Wisconsin (728). The margin of error varies by state: 2 points for Pennsylvania, 4 points for Nevada and Wisconsin, and 3 points for other states.

With the U.S. presidential election set for November 5, Trump’s standing in these pivotal states marks a critical dynamic in his third bid for the presidency.