Maharashtra Assembly Election: MVA’s Fight for Survival: Are Exit Polls Painting a Grim Picture?
Several pollsters have forecasted a significant win for the Mahayuti alliance in the Maharashtra Assembly elections 2024. The alliance, comprising the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena, the Ajit Pawar faction of the NCP, and the BJP, is predicted to secure a comfortable majority. Voting concluded today, with results scheduled for November 23, coinciding with the Jharkhand Assembly poll outcomes.
To form the government in Maharashtra’s 288-member Assembly, a coalition or party must secure at least 145 seats. The BJP has fielded candidates in 149 constituencies, while Shiv Sena is contesting 81 and the Ajit Pawar-led NCP faction has 59 candidates. On the other hand, the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), consisting of Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT), and NCP (Sharad Pawar faction), has fielded 101, 95, and 86 candidates, respectively.
Exit Poll Highlights:
– Poll Diary: Predicts 122-186 seats for Mahayuti and 69-121 for MVA.
– P-Marq: Estimates 137-157 seats for BJP+, 126-146 for Congress+, and 2-8 for others.
– Matrize: Projects 150-170 seats for Mahayuti, 110-130 for MVA, and 8-10 for others.
– Peoples Pulse: Foresees a clear Mahayuti victory with 182 seats (175-195 range), MVA at 97 (85-112 range), and others securing 7-12 seats.
As per exit poll trends, the ruling Mahayuti alliance appears poised for a decisive victory, leaving the MVA with a considerable gap. The counting on November 23 will reveal whether these predictions hold true.
